How much will we pay for gas in 2022? More than a half more than this year.



Arkadiusz Somnicki

Member of the Board

On December 17, 2021, the President of the Energy Regulatory Office approved a new tariff for PGNiG SA, the largest gas seller in Poland.

The 58% increase in the bill will affect household consumers who use gas for three purposes: gas cookers, gas water heaters and gas heating installations. It is an approximate value, calculated on the basis of the net value for the so-called a typical household. A slightly smaller increase in the bill, approx. 54%, will be recorded by customers using only gas cookers and water heaters. If we only use gas in gas cookers, the bill will increase by about 41%.

Such a large increase in gas prices is a consequence of what we have been dealing with for many months on the wholesale market (where gas sellers buy gas fuel for resale to end users). The price "Armageddon", which affected most European countries, is largely the result of the tense political and economic situation with a potential Russian-Ukrainian conflict and the Nord Stream 2 pipeline in the background. In short: Russia has limited gas supplies to Europe, increasing pressure on the European Union not to delay the decision to launch the Nord Stream 2 pipeline. Reduced gas fuel supply, combined with growing demand, directly and significantly affected gas prices.

The difficult situation on the gas market also results in the largest historical increase in electricity prices. This is described in more detail in the article:
Nobody expected such a “hot” December on the European energy exchanges – electricity prices are breaking new records.

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Through the eye of an expert. About the purchase of electricity for 2024

Many entrepreneurs take advantage of the current, relatively good market situation and have already started contracting electricity for 2024. Unlike in previous years, some companies have even completed it and are already making purchases for 2025. Companies for which the cost of energy purchase has a significant share in the entire cost structure more and more often base their decisions on individualized purchasing strategies tailored to the specificity of their operations, taking into account both current market conditions and scenarios in the event of their significant change. These strategies are the basis for the selection of the energy contracting model, they also allow for the implementation of investment or purchasing activities in the field of green energy, which is gaining in importance.

From mid-January 2023, the energy exchange prices for 2024 oscillate in the range of PLN 700-850/MWh. It can be said that this is quite a promotion, considering that in the previous six months these prices generally did not go below PLN 1000/MWh, and at the peak they even reached PLN 1800/MWh. Current prices for companies are approx. PLN 100-200/MWh higher than the exchange prices (this value includes the costs incurred by sellers related to profiling and balancing customers, the so-called "colors", excise duty, service costs, but also the accompanying risks of price changes and sellers margin of course).

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Join Enfree. Your future in the energy market.

The energy market poses more and more challenges to Polish companies. At Enfree, we help to face them - we develop energy purchase strategies for the largest recipients in the country and carry out purchasing processes for them.

If you know energy and would like to work with us, write to us. We are looking for support for our team.

Call us: +48 695 000 950

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Why is it not worth waiting with the purchase of energy for 2024?

Loudly in the network about "low", exchange prices of energy listed on the SPOT market in January 2023. (low from the perspective of the prices we faced in 2022). A relatively attractive price level favors entrepreneurs whose energy sales contracts enable the settlement of energy purchases taking into account the current exchange prices (the so-called Day-Ahead Market).

Settlement taking into account exchange prices, both futures market and DAM (SPOT) prices, is an increasingly popular form of settlement of energy sold to large electricity and gas consumers.

Why is it worth not delaying the signing of such an agreement for 2024? Because we gain more than we lose. The main advantage is the ability to react immediately to the market situation. When the time is right, the purchase can be made immediately. In order to take full advantage of this arrangement, it is important to have enough time to catch the price opportunities that occur throughout the year. Therefore, the beginning of the year is a good time to look around the market and choose electricity and gas suppliers for the next year.

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